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February 26, 2008
SciGuy
A science blog with Eric Berger
The state's hurricane evacuation plan has some problems, says Bill Read, the new director of the National Hurricane Center.
Formerly the meteorologist-in-charge of the Houston/Galveston office of the National Weather Service, Read was back in League City for a few days this week. I spent some time with Bill yesterday as part of a profile I'm doing about the challenges he faces in Miami.
During the interview Read echoed some of the same questions I've asked about Texas' hurricane |
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Bill Reid - NOAA | plan, which seems predicated on having four, or even five days' warning before the next hurricane strike.
"That's as much lead time as you're ever going to get with a storm," Read said of Hurricane Rita, the storm which prompted a mass evacuation of the Gulf Coast. "But by making their plan around Rita, they're really fighting the last war."
Just as likely, Read said, is a Hurricane Humberto-type system coming into the area. Some 30 hours before landfall there were few thunderstorms associated with the tropical low which would become Humberto, and it came ashore in southeast Texas with 90 mph winds. What if the storm had had another day out to sea? Southeast Texas would have had a major hurricane, in all likelihood, with just two days notice at most.
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